The Fallig Euro
#42
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 3,977
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Patience, friends. Just wait until we get a look at the fine print in the upcoming Federal budget proposal. Behind the smoke and mirros one will find no cause for rejoicing. Surprise! Surprise! Once again the White House and the Congress will demonstrate how little fiscal discipline this profligate nation has. Result: a continued fall in the U. S. dollar and a rise (over time) in the value of the Euro.
#46
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 1,766
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This WAS a fun thread. Please, let's not start "politicizing". I hate that.
And by the way, this news is most uplifting (I'm going in May), and I had stopped checking the exchange rate. Now I'll start checking again!
And by the way, this news is most uplifting (I'm going in May), and I had stopped checking the exchange rate. Now I'll start checking again!
#47
Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 9,922
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As I expect my next overseas trip to be to the US I'm not sweating about the appreciation of the AU$ against the US$. However, while it's an ill wind that blows no good, it would be shortsighted of me to take much satisfaction from that. From the viewpoint of the world economy any likely cure could well be worse than the disease.
For the moment I'd like to feel more sympathy for American posters in their time of hardship, but selfishly I'm more focussed on the fact that right now it's costing AU$1.67 to a buy one miserable euro. Think about THAT.
For the moment I'd like to feel more sympathy for American posters in their time of hardship, but selfishly I'm more focussed on the fact that right now it's costing AU$1.67 to a buy one miserable euro. Think about THAT.
#48
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 109
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Hi I really have my fingers crossed I'm paying in Canadian dollars, how do you like the sound of $1.61 per euro!!If anyone is up above please let it droop!(I just made a typo but this might be a Freudian slip so I will leave it as is)
#50

Joined: May 2004
Posts: 4,571
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"Oysters" and xyz123, i was all smiles reading your posts. Oh well, we can hope, right? Heck l"the last time I saw in Paris" currency calculations were easy, as the USD to Euro rates was about 1 to 1!!
Sue, thanks for that comment! I s'pose there'll be all sorts of comments about it now.
There are numerous reasons for the oddities of world exchange rates, although I dn't pretend to understand them. Does anyone, really? That said, why do I panic when my credit card debt is a few thousand $$(how I "afford" to travel
) debt, but our country (USA) can be in billions of dollars of debt.? rally--that's not a poitcal comment--just way to express my bafflement
Sue, thanks for that comment! I s'pose there'll be all sorts of comments about it now.
There are numerous reasons for the oddities of world exchange rates, although I dn't pretend to understand them. Does anyone, really? That said, why do I panic when my credit card debt is a few thousand $$(how I "afford" to travel
) debt, but our country (USA) can be in billions of dollars of debt.? rally--that's not a poitcal comment--just way to express my bafflement
#52
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,571
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It may be useful to keep in mind that anyone who can accurately predict the course of one curreny realtice to another is a very wealthy individual. Or, to put it another way, few to none can, though a slightly larger number get lucky. That said, I would not count on a large shift, especially in favor of the dollar, in the six months.
#56
Original Poster
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 74,699
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>What about Swiss Francs?
Currently 1.22 CHF to the dollar, down from about 1.12 in December, but still not as good for the dollar as last May when it was 1.3.
Based on data for the last month, I predict parity between the USD and Euro by September.
Hmmmmmm. Should I have held off renting a car? I am being charged in USD. I've paid the deposit.
Currently 1.22 CHF to the dollar, down from about 1.12 in December, but still not as good for the dollar as last May when it was 1.3.
Based on data for the last month, I predict parity between the USD and Euro by September.

Hmmmmmm. Should I have held off renting a car? I am being charged in USD. I've paid the deposit.
#57
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 16,067
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Naw... spend those dollars while they're low. Hate to have to spend so many of them when they were worth more, wouldn't you?

Actually, I do think I'm going to pre-pay a much bigger portion of the USD deposits on the car next time. No unfavorable exchange rates above the bank rate to consider, as there is when paying the remainder at the rental desk.
#58
Original Poster
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 74,699
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But Clifton, consider this:
Car Rental $644 = 496 E
Deposit 129 = 100
Owed 361 = 278
If the Euro drops to par, I still have to pay $361 instead of $278, a loss of over $80. If I had paid the full amount, I might lose as much as $144.
This is quite a considerable sum.
I shall have to worry about this.
Car Rental $644 = 496 E
Deposit 129 = 100
Owed 361 = 278
If the Euro drops to par, I still have to pay $361 instead of $278, a loss of over $80. If I had paid the full amount, I might lose as much as $144.
This is quite a considerable sum.
I shall have to worry about this.
#59
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 1,256
Likes: 0
Between Patrick and me, you all should be sitting pretty this summer. I'm selling my house and will be moving a large sum from pounds into dollars in the summer, so if my past history is correct, the dollar will soar on the exact day I transfer the money.
Actually, though, I realised that if the pound stays around at least $1.80, I will have cleared $10,000 in 2 years just from converting from US$ to GBP and back to US$.
Actually, though, I realised that if the pound stays around at least $1.80, I will have cleared $10,000 in 2 years just from converting from US$ to GBP and back to US$.
#60
Original Poster
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 74,699
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>if the pound stays around at least $1.80, I will have cleared $10,000 in 2 years just from converting from US$ to GBP and back to US$.<
Good for you.
Back in the days when West Germany was divided into the British, French and US zones, my uncle would take his winnings from crap shooting with boys from the mid-West and convert US scrip to French or British, then to British or French and back to US.
He bought a house and a hacker's license when he got back to NYC.
Good for you.
Back in the days when West Germany was divided into the British, French and US zones, my uncle would take his winnings from crap shooting with boys from the mid-West and convert US scrip to French or British, then to British or French and back to US.
He bought a house and a hacker's license when he got back to NYC.


