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El Nino this Year? How would it affect Galapagos Cruise?

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El Nino this Year? How would it affect Galapagos Cruise?

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Old Feb 28th, 2012, 05:50 AM
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El Nino this Year? How would it affect Galapagos Cruise?

Planning a cruise in the Galapagos at the end of August this year. Now I've heard that El Nino will be happening this year. Anyone know anything about this and who it would affect a cruise in this area?
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Old Feb 28th, 2012, 09:01 AM
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El Nino will bring warmer (and wetter) Western Pacific air to the Eastern Pacific, Typically, warmer sea temeprature, and more rain.

The warmer water will also displace the colder, nutrient-rich surface water of the Humboldt Current. How does it affect touring the Galapagos? Warmer water temperature and more rain. How much variation to the standard air temperature? maybe +/- 5 at the outside maximum. In the grand scheme of things, not a heck of a lot.

The question would be what is it going to be in Augsut at the Galapagos this year?

Here is a link below to the GWO's El Nino & La Nina forecast and they only give forecast 3 months out. Anything more than that, they ask for a "purchase" for their detailed forecast.
http://www.globalweathercycles.com/e...recastgwo.html

A lof people would ask what is the best time to go. The Galapagos, much like the Seychelles, Hawsaii etc (all with warm tropical climate), are year round destinations.
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Old Feb 28th, 2012, 10:43 AM
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Was just told that "El Nino" usually occurs around December as it refers to Christmas (i.e., the baby Jesus).
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Old Feb 28th, 2012, 12:09 PM
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I just posted a reply in the other Galapagos thread active right now, but I see Eschew beat me to the answer by several hours.

In the Galapagos, there's an "El Nino" that occurs every year (under normal conditions), when the currents reverse and a warmer current bathes the islands. As you noted, this typically happens around Christmas, hence the name.

When the news media in North America talks about an "El Nino" year, they're talking about when this current reversal is unusually strong. This affects climate all over the Pacific. The effect on the Galapagos is what Eschew said.

This is the same link as on my other reply, in case folks in the future dig up this thread:
http://www.geo.cornell.edu/geology/G...osClimate.html
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Old Feb 28th, 2012, 01:08 PM
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The typical wet season for the Galapagos is January to April although it could start earlier, and ended later. With the El Nino current doing its normal thing, starting around late December, that pretty much explained the whole wet season timing.

With the return of the Humboldt Current in mid year, that would also explain why the average air temperature in June July August is typicallty closer to 70 than 80, despite the year round temperature hardly changes (+/-5) through the whole year.
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Old Feb 29th, 2012, 02:57 AM
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www.weather2travel.com Climate Guides lay it out well.

Nourishing Humboldt current predominates in fall lots better wildlife actvity cooler more sea fog best prices for me from as low as $600 with galavengalapagos.com and guanguiltagua.com
[email protected] in the past. Smartours.com BBB.org
A rated best package prices sales from the US from the US currently.

A great time to go for price and wildlife have never seen El Nino affect things much careful with occult agents trolling as "experts" on the boards or you will pay thousands for a cruise that should cost you hundreds.

PM if needed and Happy Trails!
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