Going to Greece this year? Grexit threat
#21
Joined: Aug 2013
Posts: 288
Likes: 0
@BritishCaicos, if it was so simple Greece would have been thrown out of the EU years ago. But it's not like that, the GDP means nothing. It's a Domino, if Greece fall it will not end there, other countries will follow, that will finally hit, -hard-, the big economies of the Union and the World. We are not talking for any country, Greece is part of the Eurozone, the richest Union in the World. It's not just a random country. A Grexit would -certainly- shake the world economy, it's not ridiculous at all. There will be a collapse.
#22



Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 30,713
Likes: 4
The issue for me is has the corruption and cronyism of Greece been solved? I never believed that Greece should have been in the Euro but those countries that have bad corruption issues need to be cleaned or removed.
Still, my advice continues, take a couple of hundred bucks, it will be fine.
Still, my advice continues, take a couple of hundred bucks, it will be fine.
#23

Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 1,937
Likes: 0
I don't think corruption is or was the problem. Many EU countries went very close to the edge. Most like Britain have low levels of corruption.
Greece's problem is the fact that it was mainly a cash economy with personal finance based on the age old principle of spend what you have and save for a "bad harvest".
Then came the Euro, cheap debt and Northern European banks willing to flood a new market with that cheap debt. Northern countries were used to cheap debt.
Greece's personal and government sectors loaded themselves with debt to levels beyond their GDP and productivity levels. The current situation is the result. It doesn't help when your tax take per head is low due to evasion. Similar problem in Italy.
Whose to blame ?
Everyone?
Greeks.
The Greek government.
The IMF
The ECB
And the Northern European retail banks
Who should suffer?
All parties.
The issue is the balance of suffering and where it falls.
Greece's problem is the fact that it was mainly a cash economy with personal finance based on the age old principle of spend what you have and save for a "bad harvest".
Then came the Euro, cheap debt and Northern European banks willing to flood a new market with that cheap debt. Northern countries were used to cheap debt.
Greece's personal and government sectors loaded themselves with debt to levels beyond their GDP and productivity levels. The current situation is the result. It doesn't help when your tax take per head is low due to evasion. Similar problem in Italy.
Whose to blame ?
Everyone?
Greeks.
The Greek government.
The IMF
The ECB
And the Northern European retail banks
Who should suffer?
All parties.
The issue is the balance of suffering and where it falls.
#25
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,331
Likes: 0
The Greeks should definitely leave the eurozone. They can reissue their own currency and pay down their external debt with devalued currency, instead of this absurdly stupid austerity nonsense. Common Greeks are already suffering but with no way out; dumping the euro will give them a way out.
Maybe in 30 years or so Greece can reconsider joining the euro, but first it will have to get its fiscal house in order and then demonstrate it can sustain such order.
Maybe in 30 years or so Greece can reconsider joining the euro, but first it will have to get its fiscal house in order and then demonstrate it can sustain such order.
#26

Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 1,937
Likes: 0
"Maybe in 30 years or so Greece"
It will probably take 10 years of reducing pain.
An exit is the best option. Not from the EU but from the Euro, having open trade borders but a free floating drachma would give Greece a good advantage.
I posted above : thrown out of the Eurozone ie the Euro not the EU.
An EU exit for Greece could be a further disaster for Greece in term of immigration. Currently the huge numbers that are illegally entering Greece are being relocated around the EU. Should Greece leave, it alone will be left with the problem.
Corruption : doesn't help on any level but I can't think of any nation that has been brought to its knees following corruption. It is a symptom of mismanagement.
It will probably take 10 years of reducing pain.
An exit is the best option. Not from the EU but from the Euro, having open trade borders but a free floating drachma would give Greece a good advantage.
I posted above : thrown out of the Eurozone ie the Euro not the EU.
An EU exit for Greece could be a further disaster for Greece in term of immigration. Currently the huge numbers that are illegally entering Greece are being relocated around the EU. Should Greece leave, it alone will be left with the problem.
Corruption : doesn't help on any level but I can't think of any nation that has been brought to its knees following corruption. It is a symptom of mismanagement.
#27
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 2,356
Likes: 0
<<Currently the huge numbers that are illegally entering Greece are being relocated around the EU. Should Greece leave, it alone will be left with the problem.>>
Who is being relocated to the EU ? This is absolutely not true....
Let's keep that a travel forum pls.... i am sure there are many other websites where you can exchange your opinions.
Who is being relocated to the EU ? This is absolutely not true....
Let's keep that a travel forum pls.... i am sure there are many other websites where you can exchange your opinions.
#28

Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 1,573
Likes: 0
I agree that, this being a travel forum, that should be the focus of the topic--how the current euro situation will impact travel. Not a lot of point in assigning blame here. As far as contingencies, other than plan on not being able to rely upon ATMs, and use your credit card wherever possible, if (and it's still if) Greece leaves the euro (or is forced out), I haven't seen a lot of pertinent travel discussion.
A Grexit could take many different forms, but whatever form it does take, I don't think advice to travelers is going to be too different.
A Grexit could take many different forms, but whatever form it does take, I don't think advice to travelers is going to be too different.
#29



Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 30,713
Likes: 4
Agreed that no nation destroyed by corruption but it does a bunch of things, after all why would those at the top destroy a nation that gives them free money?
It takes money from the poor and gives it to the rich
It reduces inward investment
It takes major percentages off the GDP
Still, the frustrating thing for me is that Greece was just starting a turn around when they had the recent election and put these guys in.
Ah, well it will be over soon.
It takes money from the poor and gives it to the rich
It reduces inward investment
It takes major percentages off the GDP
Still, the frustrating thing for me is that Greece was just starting a turn around when they had the recent election and put these guys in.
Ah, well it will be over soon.
#30
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 2,356
Likes: 0
This was the democratic choice of the Greeks, since when are elections frustrating, just because you don't like their outcome?
These guys were elected !!
You don't live in the country, you obviously have no idea of what is going on here.
I wish there was a mute button !
These guys were elected !!
You don't live in the country, you obviously have no idea of what is going on here.
I wish there was a mute button !
#31
Original Poster

Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 19,724
Likes: 0
Thrown yet another lifeline. http://www.theguardian.com/business/...b-live-updates
Note in that article the advice to take cash. No bankrun this weekend anyway, though plenty of money has been taken out of the Greek banks over the last week.
Monday another chance.
Tsipras playing a dangerous game with Russia.
Note in that article the advice to take cash. No bankrun this weekend anyway, though plenty of money has been taken out of the Greek banks over the last week.
Monday another chance.
Tsipras playing a dangerous game with Russia.
#32
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 6,531
Likes: 0
People really need to get a grip. Does not anyone even know that during the entire Cyprus banking crisis, which functioned for months with capital controls, every single ATM in the country worked as normal?
clausar,
Don't bother to read the bozos. Best of everything to you! Greeks are, right now, the biggest protectors and supporter of democracy, and economic sanity! In fact, apparently the only people left in Europe to understand what they are, value them, and be willing to risk something real for them. Once a hero, always a hero.
clausar,
Don't bother to read the bozos. Best of everything to you! Greeks are, right now, the biggest protectors and supporter of democracy, and economic sanity! In fact, apparently the only people left in Europe to understand what they are, value them, and be willing to risk something real for them. Once a hero, always a hero.
#33
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 40
Likes: 0
I'm going in sept. Went twice back in '12 when there was drama in the news, no ATM woes then. I don't plan on bringing any wads of cash like the media is saying. Bring a credit card. I'm sure all will be just fine. And if there is trouble with the ATM and I can't pay my hotel bill- I guess I'll just have to stay in Santorini until the problem is settled...
#34
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 173
Likes: 0
I have just returned from Greece, and it seemed then that the rest of the world was more worried about the Greeks than they were. However, they are now withdrawing their money just in case, so arriving with Euros is a good idea. We came from Italy and stocked up there.
Greeks are warm and wonderful people, and it was almost as if they couldn't fathom that anything really bad could happen to them. The everyday citizens, I fear, have an unrealistic grasp of what may result in either case, Grexit or not.
Greeks are warm and wonderful people, and it was almost as if they couldn't fathom that anything really bad could happen to them. The everyday citizens, I fear, have an unrealistic grasp of what may result in either case, Grexit or not.
#35
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 2,356
Likes: 0
UNCalm
You just returned from Greece, I live in Greece....
Where did you see Greeks withdrawing their money ? Because life is going on as usual, and there was no bank run as the usual Cassandras predicted....
Also you may not have realized how worried people are, even though they keep calm. I think quite the opposite is happening, while the rest of the world is speculating on several scenarios, Greeks are the ones that are really hit by what is going on, as it is their own future that is being played.
I realize that as a foreigner having small talks with locals working in the tourist industry, you don't get the real picture.
You just returned from Greece, I live in Greece....
Where did you see Greeks withdrawing their money ? Because life is going on as usual, and there was no bank run as the usual Cassandras predicted....
Also you may not have realized how worried people are, even though they keep calm. I think quite the opposite is happening, while the rest of the world is speculating on several scenarios, Greeks are the ones that are really hit by what is going on, as it is their own future that is being played.
I realize that as a foreigner having small talks with locals working in the tourist industry, you don't get the real picture.
#36
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 173
Likes: 0
I was staying in Greece with native Athenians who told me that they and all of their friends had been slowly withdrawing money from their banks. There was no small talk with locals in the tourist industry. They were very calm, saying that whatever happens, happens. I found that to be the prevailing attitude of everyone in their circle. I am worried about them.
It is clear that people react to stressful situations differently. I was simply reporting what I personally experienced there.
It is clear that people react to stressful situations differently. I was simply reporting what I personally experienced there.
#37
Joined: Aug 2013
Posts: 288
Likes: 0
Listen, we live in this chaos for 7 years. In the beginning we were anxious, really worried about the future. But the years have passed, and now we have learned to live with the crisis. We hear catastrophic scenarios every single day. You see, the dream of the unity of Europe is dead, nobody cares about the people, nobody gives a damn about what the Greeks are going through. They just care about the money, getting our money and strangling Greece. European Union does not exist, it's a union of Banks.
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Jun 30th, 2006 04:16 AM




