Euro vs dollar
#6
Joined: Jan 2003
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piffle.
The dollar has gained about 3% in the last couple of weeks.
Compared to its value when the Euro first came out, the dollar has dropped 38%, using today's price of $1.22 per 1 euro. That is not exactly a figure to cause a stampede.
You don't really expect the euro to weaken versus the dollar until our balance of payments becomes less negative do you?
And our national debt drops under the mega trillion mark? Take a look at fiscal reality.
The dollar has gained about 3% in the last couple of weeks.
Compared to its value when the Euro first came out, the dollar has dropped 38%, using today's price of $1.22 per 1 euro. That is not exactly a figure to cause a stampede.
You don't really expect the euro to weaken versus the dollar until our balance of payments becomes less negative do you?
And our national debt drops under the mega trillion mark? Take a look at fiscal reality.
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#9
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>Compared to its value when the Euro first came out, the dollar has dropped 38%,...<
Sorry, Bob, the euro was originally priced at $1.18. That's only a 3% rise.
I think you are comparing it to when the euro had dropped to $0.87.
Sorry, Bob, the euro was originally priced at $1.18. That's only a 3% rise.
I think you are comparing it to when the euro had dropped to $0.87.
#12
Joined: Feb 2003
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I was just at a speech this morning for the chief economist from the Fannie Mae mortgage group (so take it for what it's worth) but he said that those in the know believe that the dollar will not likely drop any further against the Euro, with the exception of minor fluctuations. He also said that this drop was "long overdue" as the Euro has been undervalued since its inception.
#13
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> He also said that this drop was "long overdue" as the Euro has been undervalued since its inception.<
So much for 'experts'. The reason the euro plummeted almost immediately after it's inception was that it was overvalued compared to the national currencies on which it was based.
For example, 2000 Lira were worth less than $1 and 6 FF equalled a dollar in 2001. The euro was set at about 2000 lire and 5 FF and set at $1.18.
It was grossly overvalued.
Not to mention that everybody raised their prices when they switched over.
So much for 'experts'. The reason the euro plummeted almost immediately after it's inception was that it was overvalued compared to the national currencies on which it was based.
For example, 2000 Lira were worth less than $1 and 6 FF equalled a dollar in 2001. The euro was set at about 2000 lire and 5 FF and set at $1.18.
It was grossly overvalued.
Not to mention that everybody raised their prices when they switched over.
#18

Joined: Jan 2003
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I enjoy looking @ www.xe.com frequently for the exchange rate. It has been nice to see the exchange rate improve for the dollar over the last few weeks.
#19
Joined: Jan 2003
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Picking up on an earlier comment, the European currencies underlying the Euro have fixed values compared to the Euro. For example, 1 Euro always equals (rounded) 6.56 French Francs. While that might seem like just a curiousity, it makes it possible to compare relative costs and exchange rates over different periods of time that are both prior to and following the introduction of the Euro. (And as we've often said here before, it's been "better" and it's been "worse", from the perspective of the exchange rate to U.S. dollars.)
#20
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OOPs
I erred on the value of the FF.
In Dec. 2001 the conversion rate was 7.36 FF = $1.
The FF was then set at 6.56 to the Euro, with the Euro set at $1.18.
Thus the FF went from 13.6 to 18 cents. The Euro would have to be priced at $0.89 to keep the FF at the price it had been before the conversion.
At the same time the Italian Lira was 2194 to the dollar. It was changed to 1936 = $1.18, a 33% increase.
I erred on the value of the FF.
In Dec. 2001 the conversion rate was 7.36 FF = $1.
The FF was then set at 6.56 to the Euro, with the Euro set at $1.18.
Thus the FF went from 13.6 to 18 cents. The Euro would have to be priced at $0.89 to keep the FF at the price it had been before the conversion.
At the same time the Italian Lira was 2194 to the dollar. It was changed to 1936 = $1.18, a 33% increase.

