Fodor's Travel Talk Forums

Fodor's Travel Talk Forums (https://www.fodors.com/community/)
-   Caribbean Islands (https://www.fodors.com/community/caribbean-islands/)
-   -   Hurricanes in early October (https://www.fodors.com/community/caribbean-islands/hurricanes-in-early-october-309495/)

McSmith Apr 22nd, 2003 08:54 AM

Hurricanes in early October
 
What is the weater like in Negril in early October? Do we still have to worry about hurricanes?

travleis Apr 22nd, 2003 07:40 PM

Weather details are at weatherbase.com.<BR>Yes, October is still hurricane season.

Hirochei Apr 23rd, 2003 07:58 PM

Hurricane season end in november.

Dblebee Apr 24th, 2003 04:23 AM

September and October are prime time for hurricanes. Go anyway, you have a better chance of NOT seeing one than you do.

Canuck_at_Canada_eh Apr 24th, 2003 05:19 AM


If you want some real good information then you should check out the following link. It is the National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center and contains lots of relevant info, FAQ's, satellite imagery, plots and forecasts, etc.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Steve

BeachBoi Apr 24th, 2003 05:44 AM

Hurricane Season is &quot;officially&quot; June 1-November 30.

McSmith Apr 24th, 2003 04:21 PM

Wow. Thanks everyone who replied. I really appreciate it. We're booking our trip to Jamaica for October.

McSmith Apr 24th, 2003 04:27 PM

Well maybe I should ask all of you who replied, should I book a vacation to Jamaica in early Oct or should I choose another island?

rwilliams Apr 24th, 2003 07:42 PM

That depends on your risk tolerance.
The trade-off for an October booking is that on the upside the rates are lower since many people don't want to go then; the downside is your trip could be ruined.
The actual risk in Jamaica is one major (named) storm or hurricane every 6 years, one hurricane every 11 years. If you consider that the season is 26 weeks long, the PER WEEK risk is 1 out of 156 of being there during a major (named) storm or hurricane.
Of course the place could be in a shambles for months after a bad storm, which would ruin your trip as well, so the chances of a ruined vacation are actually a bit greater than 1/156.
But you get the idea.

McSmith Apr 25th, 2003 04:43 PM

I really appreiciate your time and thoughts rwilliams. I don't know what to do????

Lorio Apr 26th, 2003 10:06 AM

Just go!!! I've been to Jamaica in November and Cayman twice in Oct./Nov.

Weather was always good - short rains bursts occasionally but doesn't last long. You may come accross a tropical depression or something like that and yes there is a risk of a hurricane. But what are the odds? Don't let it ruin your trip.

Our last trip to Cayman we had Michelle go through the last week of our two week vacation. We still had fun - yes it was overcast and rained a lot but still wen to the beach... met lots of people wading in the water with the light sprinke of rain - it was fun. Had a great time at the seaside restaurants and bar's watching the wave action. The point here is, that you may come accross some bad weather and if you do, don't let it ruin the vacation. But you have a very, very, VERY good chance of sunshine. Also, I lived in Cayman for one year and from June to Nov. only came accross two tropical depressions that year. Once was a hurricane warning but only seemed to be a bad storm.

You'll have a great time in Jamaica!

Lori

KATITCHEPOINT Apr 27th, 2003 04:00 AM

Yes, it's still hurricane season, which means there MIGHT be storms. Check the weather forecast at www.stormcarib.com
Regine


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 06:16 PM.