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Is Oct. 1 The Magic Date On Which Fares to Europe Drop?

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I'm trying to price out how much a trip to France will cost for 5 of us next year, and we want to travel as early in the fall as possible yet not paying the high summer fares. I know that Sept. fares are usually still high and just wondered if the drop in Oct. varies, or is Oct. 1 generally the magic date? It's too early to look for next year, and too late to check it out this year! I'd like to book a specific house in the south of France, and its calendar is filling up fast so trying not to end up with $1600+ air fares, etc. Of course, I know, nobody knows what next year will bring but just wondering if anyone has any experience with airfares in Sept./Oct. this year. Thanks!

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