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Fall Foliage Montreal Quebec City; northern New England. Timing question.

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This has also been placed on the Canada Board (Quebec).

OK, so I know this is a tired old question, and impossible to answer, but all I'm really seeking is comments for my consideration. In the final analysis, I have to make the call.
Our original plan to do a fall foliage tour of New England has morphed into a pre-extend into Montreal and Quebec City, all of which is a first for us Californians. We are getting excited about seeing those lovely cities.
Our times are flexible: we are thinking more than 2 weeks, less than 4 weeks.
While our times are flexible, it is generally necessary, I understand, to secure reservations throughout the area for this time of year, which means we have to commit to the timing well in advance. Like now.
Ideally, of course, we will see magnificent colors in Montreal and Quebec areas, then kind of follow the colors south into northern and central Vermont and New Hampshire. At least that's the plan.
The usual response for most of New England is the first two weeks of October are usually (most of the time) peak leaf peeping times. But, of course, the farther north, the earlier the season.

Some of the books I read regarding peak leaf time in Montreal and Quebec say the last week of September, and stays strong most of October. Fodors says it can start as early as the first week of September in the Montreal and Quebec areas.

My current plan is to fly in and out of Burlington, head immediately to Montreal for about 3 nights, Quebec City 4 nights, thence south into northern Vermont for the rest of the time, looping back to Burlington for the trip home.

Should this trip start as early as mid-September; say around Sep 15 or 20? Earlier?

Subject of course to the vagaries of nature, any thoughts and comments on timing would be appreciated.

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