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Bing.com fare predictor

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Does anyone get how this worrks or what they actually analyze to make their fare predictions? I've been tracking a fare from IAD to CDG for this winter. Been getting alerts of maybe 3 months. when the fare drops a few dollars I get buy now, when it goes up, I get a wait. Meantime the fare has been all over the place and in general has come down. Had I followed their first "Buy" I would be paying more than the current fare.

I realize fare predicting is an art and really predicts little. I use it to get a sense of the air fares and the trends, but this has me puzzled.

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