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What are the odds of seeing the Great Migration in Serengeti in July?

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We're planning a safari to Tanzania in July, 2012. We are hoping to see some of the Great Migration (wildebeest and zebra) during this trip. We understand that the migration changes from year to year, so it's tough to pinpoint where they will be. We have seen a few web sites that show where they 'usually' are in July. It appears that they typically cross thru the Grumeti Game reserve and up to the Mara River at this time. It looks like some go thru the Serengeti Migration Camp area as well.

I was hoping to get info from others who have traveled in this area in July in the past few years to understand if we have a good chance of seeing the huge masses of wildebeest and zebra, especially the river crossings with crocs, etc.... Is it highly likely? The tour companies won't really say....


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