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The "real feel" weather for South Africa/Lesotho in the winter?

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I'm booked to leave July 10th for a 17 day trip to South Africa, arriving in Johannesburg and taking in Kruger National Park and Capetown, along with stops in Lesotho and Swaziland. (yes, I know, a bit crowded of an itinerary.)

My question is, do you think I'll find an insulated jacket necessary? (It's suggested by the tour company, but on my only previous trip with them I found that I didn't need the raincoat suggested for the Amazon rainforest.) I realize you can't know how I feel about weather, but let's just say that Mid Atlantic US in October I'm usually fine with a sweater. I've looked at the historical data for the locations, but 50 degrees in one place can certainly "feel" quite different that somewhere else. I'd rather not have to buy (and pack!) a jacket if I could get by with some cashmere pullovers or something similar; my coats tend to be long and either woolen or velvet, not really the thing for this type of travel.

If you think the jacket is a good idea, any suggestions on one that packs up easily?

Many thanks!

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